Saturday, January 01, 2005

Some Analysis

For you faithful readers out there (both of you), I wanted to provide some analysis of what went wrong in my last SnG, where I finished second, despite being dominant for most of the tourney. I looked at the hand history, and I made probably two or three really stupid plays.We'll start with something I did right.

This is the second hand of the tournament. Blinds are 10/20, I'm in seat 9, and I'm dealt A3h. We get 5 limpers and the BB checks. Flop comes Kh-4c-9h. I bet 40 and get 2 callers. The turn comes 2h (nut flush for me), I bet 20 with the same 2 callers. The river is 4d, leaving a Kh-4c-9h-2h-4d board. I worry that maybe I've allowed someone in to the hand with a shot at the full house, but I rule out a pocket pair with no raises. A player bets 1400 (all-in), the second caller folds, and I call him with my remaining 1260. He shows T8h, for a King-high flush, making my nut flush good. I took a risk by allowing the board to pair on the river, but I was also trusting my hand reading skills and not having anyone figured on a pair, especially not KK, and hopefully not 44 or 99, which I figured would have drawn more action or at least a check-raise at one point, and I took down a 2830 chip pot, crippling my showdown partner with only 140 left.

Moving right along, to hand #21, blinds 25/50, I'm dealt AKo in late position, we get one caller, and one player who started with 920 in chips and who was itching to make a move, raised it to 600, I called, since I had 3350 in chips and a good hand, and the SB also called (he started with 1543). The flop came 3s-9h-As. The first caller went all-in with his remaining 320. I was getting great odds (almost 7 to 1) with top pair to call, so I called the bet as he turned over pocket tens. Turn was a 6, river a 6, eliminating the player and pushing me to the chip lead with 4970.

A few hands later, I made my first mistake. 5 handed, in the chip lead, blinds still 25/50, I posted the SB and saw A6s. I limped with one caller and the BB and saw the flop A-A-J rainbow. It was checked around the table (slowplaying--just say no...) until the turn yielded a Qs. I had trip Aces, led with a 50 chip (1BB) bet, it was called by the BB, then raised to 100, which was called as well. The turn came 3s, I led with 100, was called, then the third player went all in with his remaining 1194. I should have had him on the flush, but an (incorrect) instinct had me thinking he was bluffing. I called his bet (unwisely), the other player folded, and to my shock, he didn't show a flush. He turned over KTo, for a straight. I should have bet him out of the pot on the flop. Maybe he would've called, but it was a poorly played hand nonetheless. Remember kids: Don't slow play. It leads to trouble. Your made hand may NOT be good if you slow play too long.

Now at one point in heads-up play, I had 11043 chips, and my opponent 2457. Better than 4-to-1. Dominated. So what did I do? Exactly--I blew it. Blinds are 200/400, ante 25. I'm dealt QJo in the BB, and I raise it to 800. Flop comes 6-3-6. I lead with 800, he calls. Turn is a J, I lead with 800, he calls. River is a K, I lead with 800, he raises to 2400. I call, he has AKo, and suddenly, I'm down almost 4-to-1 to him. It's only a matter of time, and 15 hands later, I finished in 2nd place.

Still made some money, and I chalk it up to lessons learned. Till next time...

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